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Prediction for CME (2013-04-11T07:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2013-04-11T07:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/154/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2013-04-13T22:12Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -11
Dst min. time: 2013-04-15T03:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2013-04-13T22:00Z
Predicted Dst min. in nT: -148
Predicted Dst min. time: 2013-04-14T08:00Z
Prediction Method: Anemomilos
Prediction Method Note:
: Product: Dst_alert_status
: Issued: 13-Apr-2013 17:00:01 UTC
: JDIssued: 2456396.20836
: Number_of_Data_Records: 1
: Missing_data: 9999
: Source: SET Anemomilos (Stream B) algorithm (dst_stream_b_driver)
# Prepared by Space Environment Technologies/Space Weather Division
# Contact: spacenvironment@spacenvironment.net
# http://www.spacewx.com
#
# Forecast_summary_metadata:
# AlertIssued is the alert issue time
# PredictStart is the event predicted start time
# PredictPeak is the event predicted peak time
# EL is the wait time in minutes before issuing another alert
# GX is the alert level on NOAA G scale ranging from G0 to G5
# G4, G5: WARNING: is issued when a hazardous event is occurring, 
# is imminent, or has a very high probability of occurring. 
# A warning is used for very active conditions posing a threat 
# to life or property.
# G3: ADVISORY: is issued in active to very active conditions 
# that may cause significant inconvenience, and if caution 
# is not exercised, it could lead to situations that may threaten 
# life and/or property.
# G2: WATCH: is issued when the risk of a hazardous event has increased 
# significantly, but its occurrence, location, and/or timing is 
# still uncertain. It is intended to provide enough lead-time in 
# active conditions so that those who need to set their plans in 
# motion can do so.
# G1: ALERT: is issued when an event threshold is crossed. It contains 
# information that is available at the time of issue.
# G0: MONITORING: is issued when the geomagnetic conditions are being 
# actively monitored with information that is available at the 
# time of issue.
# DST is the predicted peak (deepest perturbation) of event in nT
# Pr is the % probability of occurrence of event at epoch
# Sr is the source of forecast (daily Probability (GP or SP), Solar Event (SO), or None (NN))
# Vel is the velocity of the ejecta leaving the solar surface in km/sec
# Status
# AC = all clear (>-10 nT) (G0 monitoring)
# UN = unsettled (-33 to -10 nT) (G1 alert)
# SE = small event predicted (-33 to -48 nT) (G2 watch)
# ME = medium event predicted (-48 to -198 nT) (G3 advisory)
# LE = large event predicted (-198 to -350 nT) (G4 warning)
# LX = very large event predicted (-350 to -400 nT) (G5 warning)
# CID is the Class ID for the event composed of a letter flare class and a numeric magnitude
# C = small flare class
# M = medium flare class
# X = large flare class
# 0-300 = Xhf magnitude of event
#
# AlertIssued PredictStart PredictPeak EL GX DST Pr Sr Vel Status CID
 201304131700 201304132200 201304140800 60 G3 -148 02 NN 750 ME C002
Lead Time: 3.62 hour(s)
Difference: 0.20 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) on 2013-04-13T18:35Z
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